Two of eight region scores are High: Iran and Gaza
scores stamped 08:01Z (UTC)
- Overall threat
- High 0.53stamped 08:30Z
- Daily judgement
- Published
- Cross-check
- BROAD STRESS3 of 4 signal families raisedhistory provisional
- Data time
- 15 Nov 08:30ZUTC
Regions, worst first
HighNew since your last visitGulf and HormuzIran 0.45 · Gulf 0.30High 0.45 · scores stamped 08:01Z
What lies behind the score?
Question built from today's counts
- Iran: High 0.45
- Gulf: Elevated 0.30
340 headlines in 24 hoursNewest headline 07:34Z
ElevatedNew since your last visitUkraine and RussiaUkraine 0.30 · Russia 0.30 · Black Sea 0.30Elevated 0.30 · scores stamped 08:01Z
Is there anything new?
Question built from today's counts
- Ukraine: Elevated 0.30
- Russia: Elevated 0.30
- Black Sea: Elevated 0.30
360 headlines in 24 hoursNewest headline 08:15Z
Quiet regions: Red Sea and Yemen. No reading and no unusual rise in coverage for 30 days.
Also watched
- Gaza: High 0.45. No region page yet: nothing has been published for it.
- Eastern Mediterranean: Elevated 0.30. No region page yet: nothing has been published for it.
Also moving
- FAA: 281 articles in 24 hours, about 3 on a normal day. Headlines naming it
- Federal Aviation Administration: 186 articles in 24 hours, about 2.5 on a normal day. Headlines naming it
- Jensen Huang: 90 articles in 24 hours, about 5 on a normal day. Headlines naming it
What's new
Israel kills Hamas commander in strike on Gaza camp, officials say
Two planes collide over the runway at Miami International Airport
machine translation from another language
A drone strike in Rostov leaves at least one dead and four wounded and disrupts rail traffic
machine translation from Spanish
machine translation from another language
China’s upgraded VT-4B export tank gets fourth-gen Type 100 tech ahead of Zhuhai show
US air travel disruptions to persist until late on Sunday, aviation body head says
Most talked about
FAA: 281 articles in 24 hours, 93.7 times the usual.
Headlines naming itFederal Aviation Administration: 186 articles in 24 hours, 74.4 times the usual.
Headlines naming itNATS: 144 articles in 24 hours, 144.0 times the usual.
Headlines naming itJensen Huang: 90 articles in 24 hours, 18.0 times the usual.
Headlines naming itMarkwayne Mullin: 55 articles in 24 hours, 27.5 times the usual.
Headlines naming it
Counts are news articles that name the entity in the last 24 hours. The multiple compares that count with the entity's usual count for a day. Counted 08:32Z (UTC).
How to read this
Each row is a region, and the lamp and the word give its score today, as a label and not a forecast. Every count names its window, for example 24 hours, so a number is never left without its time frame. The question under a region says what we cannot yet tell, and it says whether a person wrote it or it was built from counts.
Track record and market check
Lead time
In the last 7 days, 820 early signals were detected. Decided cases: 494 confirmed and 222 silent.
- 494 confirmed
- 222 silent
- 69.0% of decided cases were confirmed.
- 60.2% of all detected signals were confirmed.
The file names no category for the remaining 104.
5.0 hours median lead, 7 days
Most often confirmed
- Kharkiv 6
- Kharkiv Oblast 6
- Armed Forces of Ukraine 5
- Dnipro 5
- Israel 5
How well-evidenced are our readings
- unverified 13
- partially corroborated 10
- corroborated 2
25 readings, newest dated 8 Nov.
Does the market believe it?
BROAD STRESS
3 of 4 signal families raised.
global, not regional
history provisional